Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Strasbourg
24.8%
Draw
32.1%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Strasbourg
vs
1.25
Lyon
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).