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06 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.6%
Maidenhead
28.2%
Draw
47.3%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Maidenhead

vs
1.49

Bromley

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).