Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Cagliari
22.6%
Draw
9.5%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Cagliari
vs
0.57
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
15.3%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
4.0%
1-2
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).