Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Blackpool
25.8%
Draw
31.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Blackpool
vs
1.04
Exeter
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).