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AHT: 01

22 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
La Louvière
32.2%
Draw
40.2%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

La Louvière

vs
1.08

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).