Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.5%
Real Madrid
13.6%
Draw
6.9%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Real Madrid
vs
0.68
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
3-0
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
5-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).