Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Fleetwood Town
23.1%
Draw
42.2%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.50
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).