Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.7%
Lincoln
15.6%
Draw
10.7%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Lincoln
vs
0.72
Crewe
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).