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DHT: 21CSV

23 Apr 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.8%
Karlsruhe
23.4%
Draw
21.8%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.01

Karlsruhe

vs
1.22

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).