Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.6%
Bromsgrove Sporting
6.4%
Draw
2.0%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.55
Arouca
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.0%
4-0
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
5-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-1
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
3.0%
3-2
1.8%
4-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).