Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
South Shields
21.3%
Draw
42.8%
Guiseley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
South Shields
vs
1.89
Guiseley
Markets
BTTS69.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
0-2
4.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).