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03 Jan 2026 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.8%
Espanol
16.4%
Draw
70.7%
Barcelona

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Espanol

vs
2.66

Barcelona

Markets

BTTS61.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.551.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
1-4
5.4%
0-4
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-3
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
2-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).