Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Fleetwood Town
24.5%
Draw
31.7%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.14
Burton
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).