Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Birmingham
28.6%
Draw
36.7%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Birmingham
vs
1.29
Norwich
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).