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08 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.1%
Anderlecht
24.8%
Draw
18.1%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Anderlecht

vs
0.88

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).