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HHT: 00CSV

13 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Valencia
26.1%
Draw
27.2%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Valencia

vs
1.10

Espanol

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).