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20 Apr 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Augsburg
26.1%
Draw
41.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Augsburg

vs
1.56

Eintracht Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).