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31 Aug 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Genk
22.0%
Draw
24.5%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Genk

vs
1.34

Waregem

Markets

BTTS64.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).