Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.6%
Levante
18.0%
Draw
70.5%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Levante
vs
2.30
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).