Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Ipswich
24.8%
Draw
21.4%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Ipswich
vs
1.06
Norwich
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).