Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.6%
Morecambe
20.1%
Draw
67.3%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Morecambe
vs
2.22
Southend
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
9.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.3%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).