Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Spartak Moskva
25.9%
Draw
15.7%
Rostov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.81
Rostov
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).