Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Dundee
25.7%
Draw
23.4%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Dundee
vs
1.24
Ayr
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).