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DHT: 11CSV

25 Dec 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Kasimpasa
30.8%
Draw
38.3%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Kasimpasa

vs
1.51

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).