Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Lugo
29.2%
Draw
51.8%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Lugo
vs
1.27
Girona
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.8%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).