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AHT: 00CSV

18 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.2%
Oldham
28.2%
Draw
21.6%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Oldham

vs
0.90

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).