Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Fleetwood Town
22.8%
Draw
29.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.18
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).