Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Wolves
28.7%
Draw
51.9%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Wolves
vs
1.57
Brighton
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.0%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).