Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Paris FC
19.3%
Draw
13.4%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Paris FC
vs
0.69
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
2-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).