Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Walsall
23.5%
Draw
23.7%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Walsall
vs
1.01
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).