Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Moreirense
24.1%
Draw
38.2%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Moreirense
vs
1.71
Estoril
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
0-0
4.0%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).