Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Brentford
21.2%
Draw
9.2%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Brentford
vs
0.58
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).