Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Lugo
29.6%
Draw
51.6%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Lugo
vs
1.25
Girona
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.2%
0-0
15.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).