⚽ FootballData
1 – 4
AHT: 00CSV

17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
38.3%
Eastleigh
22.7%
Draw
39.0%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Eastleigh

vs
1.91

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS73.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
0-1
3.6%
1-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).