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HHT: 10CSV

23 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Verona

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.6%
Bologna
20.7%
Draw
13.7%
Verona

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Bologna

vs
0.73

Verona

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.3%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).