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21 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.5%
Stenhousemuir
33.0%
Draw
42.5%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Stenhousemuir

vs
1.11

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.0%
0-1
16.0%
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).