Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.2%
Chesterfield
12.4%
Draw
7.4%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19
Chesterfield
vs
0.96
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.578.4%
Over 3.559.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
6.8%
4-1
6.5%
1-1
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).