Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Barnsley
29.5%
Draw
45.0%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Barnsley
vs
1.37
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).