Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Lyon
20.7%
Draw
32.9%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Lyon
vs
1.63
Marseille
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).