Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Palermo
26.3%
Draw
11.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Palermo
vs
0.57
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).