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16 Mar 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Fulham
25.8%
Draw
23.8%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Fulham

vs
1.21

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).