Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Alaves
25.6%
Draw
16.5%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Alaves
vs
0.73
Granada
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).