Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Pisa
23.0%
Draw
14.6%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Pisa
vs
0.85
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).