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HHT: 10CSV

26 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.2%
Celtic
19.5%
Draw
12.3%
Hamilton

Expected Goals (xG)

2.20

Celtic

vs
0.83

Hamilton

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).