Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Karagumruk
33.7%
Draw
32.0%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Karagumruk
vs
1.21
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.1%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).