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AHT: 11CSV

09 Nov 2024 · 14:00

Parma

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Venezia
32.4%
Draw
32.8%
Parma

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Venezia

vs
0.88

Parma

Markets

BTTS35.0%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.3%
1-0
15.4%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).