Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Barrow
23.3%
Draw
50.9%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Barrow
vs
1.67
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).