Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Benevento
28.0%
Draw
43.0%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Benevento
vs
1.49
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).