Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Lille
26.0%
Draw
34.3%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Lille
vs
1.22
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).