Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Hamburg
27.2%
Draw
47.3%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Hamburg
vs
1.55
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).